Flare activity continues - M-Class flare activity continues on Monday morning. An M4, M1 and M2 have all taken place around Sunspot 1045 and there will continue to be a chance for M-Class flares and a lower chance for an X-Class flare. Continue to monitor the Solar X-Ray flux today.

Solar Update - Sunspot 1045 has a Beta-Gamma classification with a possible Delta Magnetic configuration and continues to produce Solar Flares. There will remain a chance for M-Class flares and there is now a 10% chance for an X-Flare event. A Full Halo CME has been observed in Lasco imagery. Any earth directed CME impacts can produce minor geomagnetic storming and help produce Aurora conditions on VHF.

Sunspot Group 1045 (Monday)

New sunspot 1046 was numbered on Sunday and is located on the eastern limb.

Largest Flare of Cycle 24 - Several M-Flares including an M6.4 have taken place around Sunspot 1045. The flare at 03:19 UTC Sunday is the largest solar flare of Cycle 24 thus far. Any earth directed explosions could trigger geomagnetic storming. The latest blast did trigger a R2 Radio blackout.

Click HERE for Movie of M6.4 solar flare

Small CME with the M6.4 flare

Sunspots (Sunday)

From the Space Weather Prediction Center Updated 2010 Feb 07 2201 UTC Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 038 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Feb 2010 Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: Solar activity was high. Region 1045 (N23W01) produced two M-class events during the past 24 hours. The first was a M1 at 06/2137Z and the second was a M6/1n at 07/0224Z. The SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery observed a CME off the east limb with the first event and a full halo with the second event. The M6 x-ray event had an associated EIT wave, and a Tenflare of 170sfu. This region has retained a magnetic beta-gamma configuration with a possible delta magnetic configuration within its interior spots. A new region was numbered today as Region 1046 (N25E65). Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate with M-class events likely. There is a slight chance for a X-class event from Region 1045. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled with isolated active conditions for the next three days (08-10 February) due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream and CME effects. Event Probabilities 08 Feb-10 Feb Class M 50/50/50 Class X 10/10/10 Proton 01/01/01 [Latest Report]